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Probability Calculator

Calculate the likelihood of a single event, two independent events, or convert an odds ratio into probability.

Probability

What Is a Probability Calculator?

A Probability Calculator helps you find the chance that an event will happen. It can calculate simple probability, complement probability, two-event probability, independent events, dependent events, conditional probability, and odds conversions.

Probability is used in mathematics, statistics, games, science, finance, business, weather forecasting, risk analysis, and everyday decision-making.

Meaning

What Is Probability?

Probability is a number that shows how likely something is to happen. It can be written as a decimal, fraction, or percentage.

ValueMeaning
00Impossible
0.50.5Even chance, or 50%
11Certain

Calculator Uses

What This Probability Calculator Can Find

The calculator supports common probability questions and gives results in useful formats.

Single event
Find the chance that one event happens, such as rolling a 6 or getting heads.
Complement probability
Find the chance that an event does not happen, written as P(A').
Two events
Find probabilities such as A and B, A or B, neither event, or exactly one event.
Odds to probability
Convert an odds ratio such as 3:2 into a probability percentage.

The Math

Key Probability Formulas

These are the core rules used by probability calculators.

Basic probability

P(A)=Favorable OutcomesTotal OutcomesP(A)=\frac{\text{Favorable Outcomes}}{\text{Total Outcomes}}

Example: rolling a 6 on a fair die has probability 1 / 6, or about 16.67%.

Complement probability

P(A)=1P(A)P(A')=1-P(A)

Example: if there is a 30% chance of rain, the chance of no rain is 70%.

Independent events

P(AB)=P(A)×P(B)P(A\cap B)=P(A)\times P(B)

Use this when one event does not affect the other, such as flipping a coin and rolling a die.

Dependent events

P(AB)=P(A)×P(BA)P(A\cap B)=P(A)\times P(B\mid A)

Use this when the first event changes the probability of the second event.

Probability of A or B

P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)

The overlap is subtracted so it is not counted twice.

Advanced Conditions

Advanced Probability Rules

These rules help with conditional probability, neither event, exactly one event, and repeated trials.

ConditionFormula
Conditional probabilityP(AB)=P(AB)P(B)P(A\mid B)=\frac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)}
Neither event1P(AB)1-P(A\cup B)
Exactly one eventP(A)+P(B)2P(AB)P(A)+P(B)-2P(A\cap B)
At least one success1(1p)n1-(1-p)^n

Formats

Decimal, Fraction, and Percent Probability

A good probability calculator should show results in more than one format so the answer is easy to read.

FormatExample
Decimal0.250.25
Fraction14\frac{1}{4}
Percent25%25\%
These all represent the same value: 0.25=14=25%0.25=\frac{1}{4}=25\%.

Odds

Odds to Probability Formula

Odds compare successes to failures. Probability compares successes to all possible outcomes.

Odds ratio to probability

Probability=Success OddsSuccess Odds+Failure Odds\text{Probability}=\frac{\text{Success Odds}}{\text{Success Odds}+\text{Failure Odds}}

Example: odds of 3:2 convert to probability 3 / (3 + 2) = 0.60, or 60%.

Common Questions

Examples of Probability Questions

Probability helps answer everyday questions about chance and risk.

Winning chance
What is the chance of winning a game or drawing a specific card?
Coin flip
What is the probability of getting heads?
Dice roll
What is the chance of rolling a 6?
Two events
What is the probability that A or B happens, or that both events happen?
Risk analysis
What is the likelihood that an unwanted event occurs?
Statistics Help

Frequently Asked Questions

A probability calculator finds the chance that an event will happen. It can calculate simple probability, complement probability, A and B, A or B, independent events, dependent events, and conditional probability.

The basic formula is: Probability = Favorable Outcomes / Total Outcomes.

P(A) means the probability that event A happens.

P(A') means the probability that event A does not happen.

P(A and B) means the probability that both event A and event B happen.

P(A or B) means the probability that event A happens, event B happens, or both events happen.

The formula is: P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B).

For independent events: P(A and B) = P(A) x P(B).

Conditional probability is the chance of one event happening when another event has already happened. P(A | B) = P(A and B) / P(B).

No. Probability must be between 0 and 1. In percentage form, it must be between 0% and 100%.

A probability of 0 means the event is impossible.

A probability of 1 means the event is certain.

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